Report
Saturday, October 3, 2026, 11:15 AM PDT (1815 UTC)
In brief: solar flux 105, K index 1, maximum usable frequency 27 MHz, 21°C at SFO. Tropo: Ducting developing along the Pacific Northwest coast after 8 PM. Nothing toward Hawaii.
Space
Space weather: solar flux 105, 10 below its 90-day average of 115. Maximum usable frequency 27 megahertz, measured by the Idaho Falls ionosonde via KC2G: long-distance paths open through 15 meters, 12 meters marginal, 10 meters and up closed. Critical frequency 7.8 megahertz, so 80 and 60 meters are good for NVIS, 40 meters marginal. Daytime absorption limits 160 and 80 meters to short range. K index 1, very quiet. No significant flares. Data from NOAA.
Cycle 25 came in well above forecasts, about 40 percent stronger than predicted, which gave years of excellent 10 and 6 meter conditions.
Sun and moon, Pacific Daylight Time: sunrise 7:07 AM, sunset 6:50 PM, day length 11 hours 43 minutes. Moonset 2:56 PM at 304 degrees, west northwest. No moonrise today. Last quarter moon, 48 percent lit. The Orionid meteor shower peaks Wednesday, October 21, a meteor scatter opportunity on 6 and 2 meters. Moonbounce: the moon peaks tomorrow at 8:07 AM, 76 degrees high and 3 percent closer than average, a good time to listen for EME signals on 2 meters and up.
The moon is near perigee, its closest point this month, so EME path loss is near its lowest.
Amateur satellite passes for the next four hours. The ISS, FM crossband repeater, when active: at 11:17 AM rising in the west southwest, 54 degrees. SO 50, FM: at 11:49 AM rising in the south southwest, 89 degrees, overhead. For the next pass, the ISS: uplink 145.99 megahertz with a 67 hertz tone, downlink 437.8. Frequencies and live status at amsat.org/status. Pass predictions at n2yo.com.
Satellite tip: rotate a handheld Yagi as the satellite passes to follow its changing polarization. A small twist can bring back a fading signal.
DX activity, via the cluster network and hamqsl.com. None spotted by West Coast stations right now. No aurora or 6 meter E-skip.
Tropospheric ducting, from balloon soundings 6 hours ago: over Oakland, a duct at 210 to 560 meters, good for 2 meters and up. A matching duct over Vandenberg suggests a path to Southern California. K6EEG's experimental tropo model, from NOAA data, for the next 12 hours: Ducting continues along the Bay Area coast, strongest around 5 PM, and the Southern California coast. Ducting developing along the Pacific Northwest coast after 8 PM. Nothing toward Hawaii.
Tropo openings favor horizontal antennas. For CW, try 144.05 to 144.1 megahertz on 2 meters, and 432.1 on 70 centimeters.
Events. The California QSO Party, now under way, California stations in demand. IARU Region 1UHF/Microwaves Contest, now under way. IARU Region 2 Area GHFSSB Contest, now under way.
Club and community announcements. The SF Amateur Radio Club meets on the third Friday of each month, 7 PM at the Randall Museum. Visit sfarc.org for more details.
Keep your FCC license information current in the ULS, including your email address. The FCC sends license notices by email. Many handhelds can receive NOAA Weather Radio. Program the local channels.
Earth
Current weather conditions at San Francisco International Airport: All values in SI units. Temperature 21 degrees Celsius. Dew point 17 degrees Celsius. Relative humidity 78 percent. Wind calm. Barometric pressure 1013 hectopascals, normal. Visibility 16 kilometers.
Batteries and radios in parked cars degrade in heat. Keep go-kit batteries somewhere cool.
National Weather Service forecast. Values converted to SI units. Today: Sunny. High near 30 degrees Celsius, with temperatures falling to around 27 degrees Celsius in the afternoon. North wind 0.9 to 4.5 meters per second. Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 17 degrees Celsius. West southwest wind 0.4 to 4.0 meters per second. Sunday: Mostly cloudy. High near 29 degrees Celsius, with temperatures falling to around 24 degrees Celsius in the afternoon. Northwest wind 0.4 to 4.5 meters per second.
Tide predictions for today at the San Francisco Embarcadero gauge. High tide at 7:11 AM, 1.35 meters. Low tide at 11:12 AM, 1.08 meters. High tide at 5:11 PM, 1.77 meters.
Ocean and bay conditions. No marine advisories in effect. From the San Francisco buoy, 18 nautical miles west of the Golden Gate: significant wave height 1.1 meters, slight seas, dominant period 8 seconds, from the northwest. Wind at the buoy 3 meters per second from the north. Ocean water temperature 15 degrees Celsius. San Francisco Bay water temperature 19 degrees Celsius. Golden Gate currents: slack water at 1 PM, then maximum flood 0.7 meters per second at 3:44 PM, then slack water at 5:36 PM.
Air quality for field operations, from the Bay Area Air District's San Francisco Arkansas Street monitoring station. Fine particulate matter, PM2.5, is 9 micrograms per cubic meter, rated good. Ozone is 16 parts per billion. Nitrogen dioxide is 12 parts per billion. For more information visit the Bay Area Air District or openaq.org on the web.
Seismic awareness for emergency communicators: no Bay Area earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or greater in the past 24 hours. Largest in California in the past 24 hours: magnitude 2.9, near South Lake Tahoe. No earthquakes of magnitude 6 or greater worldwide. Seismic data from earthquake.usgs.gov.
Secure radio equipment and shelving. A falling power supply or radio can take your station out of action at the moment it's needed most.